Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
