Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Panama had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
