Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Tsirion Athlítiko Kentro
Aris
2 - 0
Neftchi Baku
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Aris Thessaloniki and Neftchi Baku.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PAS Giannina 0-3 Aris
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AEK Athens | 25 | 13 | 43 |
| 4 | Aris Thessaloniki | 25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Panathinaikos | 25 | 18 | 39 |
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 4-0 Neftchi Baku
Thursday, August 26 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 26 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Neftchi Baku win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
48.08% ( 0.1) | 26.8% ( -0.03) | 25.12% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
