DC United
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 15, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
New York City

DC United
0 - 0
NY City


Rowles (23'), Rowles (23'), Enow (34'), Enow (34'), Tubbs (87'), Tubbs (87')
FT

Perea (57'), Perea (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 2-0 DC United
Saturday, May 10 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 0-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawNew York City FC
38.02% (-1.28 -1.28)25.52% (0.183 0.18)36.45% (1.097 1.1)
Both teams to score 55.88% (-0.523 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.93% (-0.719 -0.72)48.06% (0.721 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.77% (-0.665 -0.67)70.23% (0.66500000000001 0.67)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (-1.002 -1)24.81% (1.001 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6% (-1.418 -1.42)59.4% (1.417 1.42)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32% (0.291 0.29)25.68% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.41% (0.395 0.4)60.59% (-0.395 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    DC United 38.02%
    New York City FC 36.45%
    Draw 25.52%
DC UnitedDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 38.02%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.188 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.66% (0.325 0.33)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.142 0.14)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.268 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.72% (0.094 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.042 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.45%

How you voted: DC United vs NY City

DC United
36.8%
Draw
10.5%
New York City FC
52.6%
19
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
DC United
1-1
NY City
Benteke (67' pen.)
Benteke (16'), Bartlett (27'), Santos (55'), Badji (80')
Rodriguez (32' pen.)
Sands (41'), Moralez (69'), Martins (82')
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
DC United
2-0
NY City
Klich (45'), Durkin (62')
Birnbaum (45+1'), Canouse (67'), Klich (90+2')

O'Toole (74'), Perea (90+6')
Mar 18, 2023 11.30pm