COSAFA Cup | Group Stage | 2nd Leg

Jun 7, 2025 at 2pm UK

Al Salam Stadium

South Africa
2 - 0
Zimbabwe

(Zimbabwe win 4-3 on aggregate)

Dlamini (40' pen.), Okon (78')
Sebelebele (12'), Ishmael Mngonyama (27')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mbeba (58'), (60'), Makunike (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's COSAFA Cup clash between South Africa and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Last Game: Benin 0-2 South Africa
Tuesday, March 25 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Next Game: South Africa vs. Mozambique
Wednesday, June 4 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Zimbabwe

All competitions

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, March 25 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Next Game: Mauritius vs. Zimbabwe
Wednesday, June 4 at 5pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 75.48%. A draw has a probability of 18% and a win for Zimbabwe has a probability of 6.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 2-0 with a probability of 17.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (17.87%) and 3-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (8.91%), while for a Zimbabwe win it is 0-1 (3.68%).

Result
South Africa	Draw	Zimbabwe
75.48% ( -1.03)	17.96% ( 0.52)	6.56% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 29.25% (

1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.49% (

-0.2)

56.51% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.49% (

-0.16)

77.5% (

0.15)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53% (

-0.37)

13.47% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.53% (

-0.75)

40.47% (

0.74)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.8% (

1.36)

66.19% (

-1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.49% (

0.55)

93.5% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

South Africa 75.47%

Zimbabwe 6.56%

Draw 17.96%

South Africa	Draw	Zimbabwe
2-0 @ 17.91% ( -0.37) 1-0 @ 17.87% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 11.97% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 6% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 75.47%	0-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.07) 1-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.96%	0-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.36% Total : 6.56%