Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manaus win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Independencia had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manaus win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Independencia win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%).