Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Cascavel had a probability of 19.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.7%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.99%), while for a Cascavel win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.