Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.