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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Millwall logo
Watford
1 - 0
Millwall
Sarr (11' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Muller (86')
The Match
Match Report
Ismaila Sarr scored the penalty that earned the Hornets promotion back to the top flight.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 18.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawMillwall
55.33%26.14%18.53%
Both teams to score 40.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39%60.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.01%80.99%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74%22.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.3%55.7%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.53%47.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.16%82.83%
Score Analysis
    Watford 55.32%
    Millwall 18.53%
    Draw 26.13%
WatfordDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 15.87%
2-0 @ 11.92%
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 4.45%
4-0 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.67%
3-2 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 7.87%
1-2 @ 4.41%
0-2 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.53%

How you voted: Watford vs Millwall

Watford
82.0%
Draw
11.2%
Millwall
6.7%
89
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 22
Millwall
0-0
Watford
Kieftenbeld (27'), Cooper (33')
Masina (45+1'), Cleverley (45+2'), Chalobah (56'), Sierralta (74')
Jan 29, 2017 12pm
Fourth Round
Millwall
1-0
Watford
Morison (85')
Wallace (95')

Britos (66'), Mason (81'), Doucoure (91')
[nma]
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester1413012982139
2Ipswich TownIpswich13111129151434
3Leeds UnitedLeeds147432415925
4Southampton147342425-124
5Cardiff CityCardiff147252316723
6Hull City146532016423
7Sunderland147162416822
8Preston North EndPreston146441821-322
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom135532014620
10Middlesbrough146261920-120
11Stoke CityStoke146171618-219
12Blackburn RoversBlackburn146172023-319
13Swansea CitySwansea145362018218
14Birmingham CityBirmingham145361617-118
15Bristol City145361516-118
16Watford144551818017
17Norwich CityNorwich145272527-217
18Millwall144551518-317
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth144372322115
20Coventry CityCoventry133641716115
21Huddersfield TownHuddersfield143561427-1314
22Rotherham UnitedRotherham122371222-109
23Queens Park RangersQPR1422101026-168
24Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds130310522-173

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