Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 54.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Reading |
| 54.18% | 25.67% | 20.15% |
| Both teams to score 44.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.3% | 57.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.54% | 78.45% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% | 21.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.65% | 54.35% |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.35% | 43.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.17% | 79.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 14.39% 2-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 4.74% 4-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.03% Total : 54.17% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 9.33% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 7.73% 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 65 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 58 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 45 |
| 4 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 43 |
| 8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
| 9 | Millwall | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 42 |
| 10 | Sunderland | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 41 |
| 11 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 39 |
| 13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 |
| 14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 38 |
| 15 | Hull City | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 | Reading | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 33 |
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 33 |
| 19 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 32 |
| 20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 32 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 29 |
| 22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 26 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 26 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 25 |
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