Championship

Championship | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
3 - 3
Oxford Utd

Eom (23'), Pereira Martins (57'), Cullen (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Leigh (40'), Helik (62'), Placheta (90+3')
Matos (48'), Brannagan (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Sunderland
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 66.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 12.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.57%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Oxford United
66.58% ( -0.33)	20.85% ( 0.06)	12.57% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 42.46% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.33% (

0.36)

51.67% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.55% (

0.31)

73.45% (

-0.31)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.31% (

0.01)

14.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.14% (

0.02)

42.85% (

-0.03)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.77% (

0.68)

50.23% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.18% (

0.47)

84.82% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 66.58%

Oxford United 12.57%

Draw 20.85%

Swansea City	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 14.15% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 66.58%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.85%	0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 12.57%