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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Cardiff City |
58.47% | 21.42% (![]() | 20.1% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.37% (![]() | 40.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.99% (![]() | 63.01% (![]() |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.37% (![]() | 13.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.22% (![]() | 40.78% (![]() |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.14% (![]() | 33.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.47% (![]() | 70.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Cardiff City |
2-1 @ 9.93% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.16% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 3.31% Total : 58.47% | 1-1 @ 9.96% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 5.39% (![]() 0-1 @ 5% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 20.11% |