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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Cardiff City logo

Norwich
4 - 2
Cardiff

Nunez (13', 17'), Sainz (23'), Duffy (67')
Wright (36'), Stacey (42'), Doyle (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Salech (56' pen., 84')
Ralls (10'), Bagan (64')
Chambers (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Norwich
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 West Brom
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawCardiff City
58.47%21.42% (0.186 0.19)20.1% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 57.13% (-0.973 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.37% (-1.137 -1.14)40.63% (1.135 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (-1.176 -1.18)63.01% (1.174 1.17)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.37% (-0.37 -0.37)13.62% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.22% (-0.738 -0.74)40.78% (0.736 0.74)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14% (-0.842 -0.84)33.86% (0.84 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47% (-0.922 -0.92)70.52% (0.92 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 58.47%
    Cardiff City 20.11%
    Draw 21.42%
Norwich CityDrawCardiff City
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 9.16% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.09% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.29% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.087 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 58.47%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.61% (0.236 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5% (0.146 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 20.11%

How you voted: Norwich vs Cardiff

Norwich City
81.0%
Draw
14.3%
Cardiff City
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff
2-1
Norwich
Robinson (89'), O'Dowda (90+3')
Rinomhota (45+1'), Turnbull (54'), O'Dowda (78')
Sainz (52')
Fisher (42'), Cordoba (82')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Norwich
4-1
Cardiff
Sargent (39', 54'), Sara (44'), Fassnacht (77')
Collins (19')
Colwill (47'), Phillips (69'), Goutas (90+3')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Cardiff
2-3
Norwich
Bowler (39'), Robinson (43')
Grant (12'), Wintle (79')
Fassnacht (22'), Wintle (82' og.), Idah (84')
Nunez (45'), Gibbs (77')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Norwich
2-0
Cardiff
Sara (33'), Marquinhos (37')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cardiff
1-0
Norwich
Sawyers (49')
Kipre (44'), O'Dowda (54'), Ralls (69'), Ng (69'), Rinomhota (69')
Ng (73')

Hanley (68')
Hanley (85')