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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 58.47% | 21.42% ( | 20.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( | 40.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( | 63.01% ( |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.37% ( | 13.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.22% ( | 40.78% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( | 33.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% ( | 70.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 4-0 @ 3.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 5-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 58.47% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0-0 @ 4.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.42% | 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0-1 @ 5% ( 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 1-3 @ 1.95% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 20.11% |