Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kortrijk would win this match.
