MX23RW : Friday, May 16 20:40:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
OH Leuven
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 10
May 25, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Westerlo

Leuven
1 - 2
Westerlo

Dagur Thorsteinsson (52')
Schingtienne (7'), Russo (45+4'), Maertens (69')
Ricca (25'), Russo (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vaesen (34'), Tagir (45+3')
van den Keybus (49'), Piedfort (69'), Tagir (85'), Stassin (89'), Neustadter (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Leuven and Westerlo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sint-Truiden 1-1 Leuven
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Westerlo 0-2 Mechelen
Saturday, May 18 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Leuven 2-1 Westerlo

Although this a dead-rubber, both teams will want to end their season on a high. Although Leuven have not necessarily impressed in the final third, we feel that they will do enough to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
LeuvenDrawWesterlo
53.45% (0.307 0.31) 22.79% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 23.76% (-0.209 -0.21)
Both teams to score 57.69% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.68% (0.217 0.22)42.32% (-0.215 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.27% (0.217 0.22)64.73% (-0.21300000000001 -0.21)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (0.184 0.18)15.82% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55% (0.336 0.34)45% (-0.333 -0.33)
Westerlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)31.47% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)67.85% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Leuven 53.45%
    Westerlo 23.76%
    Draw 22.78%
LeuvenDrawWesterlo
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.019 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 53.45%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 23.76%

How you voted: Leuven vs Westerlo

Leuven
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Westerlo
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Westerlo
1-1
Leuven
Tagir (25')
Haspolat (10'), Gillekens (83')
Maertens (77' og.)
Sagrado (70'), Banzuzi (72'), Russo (83')
Feb 3, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 24
Westerlo
0-3
Leuven
Banzuzi (2'), Miguel (11'), Maertens (60')
Sagrado (17'), Ricca (75')
Nov 4, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 13
Leuven
0-2
Westerlo

Dagur Thorsteinsson (48'), Maertens (73'), Mendyl (82')
Madsen (64' pen.), Sydorchuk (69')
Haidara (10'), Tagir (32'), Piedfort (36'), Daci (47'), Bayram (55'), Sydorchuk (73'), Stassin (90+3')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Westerlo
1-2
Leuven
Dorgeles (79')
Gonzalez (51', 56')
Jul 30, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 2
Leuven
2-0
Westerlo
Dagur Thorsteinsson (13'), Holzhauser (77' pen.)
Ouedraogo (48'), Patris (60')

Neustadter (45+1'), Perdichizzi (63'), Bernat (90+3')
Perdichizzi (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Relegation Round
1Union SGUnion SG382211564273736
2Club BruggeBrugge38239682404234
3Genk38236963422124
4Anderlecht381871360352523
5Royal AntwerpAntwerp3814121256451120
6GentGent381212144358-1515
Relegation Round
1Sint-Truiden361011155066-1641
2Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge36912153957-1839
3KortrijkKortrijk36107194063-2337
4Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA3659223670-3424
Conference League Play-off Group
1CharleroiCharleroi38159145244836
2MechelenMechelen381212145954529
3Westerlo381211156765229
4Leuven38918113848-1027
5Dender381110175170-1927
6Standard Liege381014142743-1625
 
Regular Season
1Genk30215455332268
2Club BruggeBrugge30178565362959
3Union SGUnion SG301510549252455
4Anderlecht30156950272351
5Royal AntwerpAntwerp301210847321546
6GentGent30111274133845
7Standard Liege30109112235-1339
8MechelenMechelen30108124540538
9Westerlo30107135049137
10CharleroiCharleroi30107133636037
11Leuven3081392833-537
12Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge30711122944-1532
13Dender3088143351-1832
14Sint-Truiden30710134156-1531
15KortrijkKortrijk3075182855-2726
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA3039182660-3418


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