Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.
