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World Cup

Italy national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
Moldova national football team

Italy
0 - 0
Moldova

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Europe Group Stage clash between Italy and Moldova.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

All competitions
Last Game: Germany 3-3 Italy
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Norway vs. Italy
Friday, June 6 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Moldova

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Moldova 2-3 Estonia
Tuesday, March 25 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Next Game: Poland vs. Moldova
Friday, June 6 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw has a probability of 21% and a win for Moldova has a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Moldova win it is 0-1 (5%).

Result
ItalyDrawMoldova
62.5% (0.137 0.14)20.99% (-0.107 -0.11)16.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.67% (0.284 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.49% (0.411 0.41)44.5% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.12% (0.396 0.4)66.87% (-0.399 -0.4)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.35% (0.17099999999999 0.17)13.65% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.17% (0.344 0.34)40.83% (-0.346 -0.35)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.84% (0.21 0.21)40.16% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (0.19 0.19)76.79% (-0.191 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Italy 62.49%
    Moldova 16.51%
    Draw 20.99%
ItalyDrawMoldova
1-0 @ 10.91% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.59% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.28% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.43% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 62.49%
1-1 @ 9.96% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.48% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.99%
0-1 @ 5% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.51%

Who will win Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Italy and Moldova?

Italy
Draw
Moldova
Italy
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Moldova
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2020 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Italy
6-0
Moldova
Cristante (19'), Caputo (23'), El Shaarawy (30', 45+1'), Posmac (38' og.), Berardi (72')

Carp (3'), Rata (77')
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