World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage | 2nd Leg

Jun 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore

Italy
0 - 0
Moldova

(agg: -)

LIVE
33'

Clescenco (29'), (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Italy and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Monday's World Cup qualifying clash with Moldova.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

All competitions

Last Game: Germany 3-3 Italy
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: Norway vs. Italy
Friday, June 6 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	6	13
2	Italy	6	5	13
3	Belgium	6	-3	4
4	Israel	6	-8	4

Moldova

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Moldova 2-3 Estonia
Tuesday, March 25 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Next Game: Poland vs. Moldova
Friday, June 6 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Italy win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw has a probability of 21% and a win for Moldova has a probability of 16.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Moldova win it is 0-1 (5%).

Result
Italy	Draw	Moldova
62.5% ( 0.14)	20.99% ( -0.11)	16.51% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.67% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.49% (

0.41)

44.5% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.12% (

0.4)

66.87% (

-0.4)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.35% (

0.17)

13.65% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.17% (

0.34)

40.83% (

-0.35)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.84% (

0.21)

40.16% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.2% (

0.19)

76.79% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Italy 62.49%

Moldova 16.51%

Draw 20.99%

Italy	Draw	Moldova
1-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 62.49%	1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.99%	0-1 @ 5% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.51%