Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 17.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.