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National League South | Gameweek 10
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Paddy Power Park
Farnborough Town
1 - 2
St Albans City
Kasimu (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Neal (20' pen.), Lokko (73' og.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and St Albans City.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Worthing
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawSt Albans City
25.48% (-1.497 -1.5) 24.98% (-0.597 -0.6) 49.53% (2.093 2.09)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.564 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (1.352 1.35)50.23% (-1.354 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (1.188 1.19)72.18% (-1.19 -1.19)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.501 -0.5)34.3% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.541 -0.54)71% (0.53999999999999 0.54)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7% (1.453 1.45)20.29% (-1.454 -1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.34% (2.265 2.27)52.66% (-2.265 -2.27)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 25.48%
    St Albans City 49.53%
    Draw 24.97%
Farnborough TownDrawSt Albans City
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.525 -0.52)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-0 @ 3.99% (-0.339 -0.34)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 25.48%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 11.1% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.47% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.298 0.3)
1-3 @ 5.04% (0.316 0.32)
0-3 @ 4.71% (0.355 0.36)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.134 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.208 0.21)
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.217 0.22)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 49.53%

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