Nations League | League B
Sep 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
We said: Scotland 2-1 Republic of Ireland
Given Scotland's efforts against Ukraine, there will inevitably be some tiredness in their legs, and that will only encourage Republic of Ireland. Nevertheless, it will still take a big performance from the Green Army to beat Scotland, something which we do not think that they are capable of at this time.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 60.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.93%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.35%), while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Scotland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Scotland.
| Result |
| Scotland | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
60.66% ( 2.14) | 25.07% ( -0.45) | 14.27% ( -1.69) |
| Both teams to score 36.08% ( -2.11) |
