World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round | 2nd Leg

Jun 7, 2025 at 3am UK

Estadio Cementos Progreso

Guatemala
4 - 2
Dominican Rep.

(Dominican Republic win 6-5 on aggregate)

Santis (6', 58', 61'), Samayoa (52')
Mario Rosales Marroquin (14'), (60'), Santis (60')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Romero (17'), Morschel (36')
Pujol (52'), Carlos Lopez (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Guatemala and Dominican Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 Guatemala
Sunday, June 1 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Dominican Republic

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Dominican Rep. 2-0 Puerto Rico
Wednesday, March 26 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Guatemala has a probability of 35.65% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Guatemala win is 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.95%).

Result
Guatemala	Draw	Dominican Republic
35.65% ( -0.25)	27.34% ( 0.84)	37.02% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 49.83% (

-2.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.28% (

-3.4)

55.72% (

3.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.14% (

-2.85)

76.86% (

2.85)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

-1.81)

29.83% (

1.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09% (

-2.24)

65.91% (

2.25)

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

-1.97)

28.99% (

1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.12% (

-2.51)

64.88% (

2.51)

Score Analysis

Guatemala 35.65%

Dominican Republic 37.01%

Draw 27.34%

Guatemala	Draw	Dominican Republic
1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.83) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.65%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( 1.08) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.4) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.29) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.29) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.01%