World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 6, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores

Guatemala
6 - 0
Dominica

Galindo (3', 4', 48', 48'), Yanes (27', 27'), Rubin (58', 58'), Carlos Martinez (78', 78'), Ardon (83'), Morales (83')
Yanes (35'), Yanes (35')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Jules (8'), Bertrand (8'), Joseph (45+3'), Joseph (45+3')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Guatemala and Dominica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions

Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Nicaragua
Monday, May 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Dominica

All competitions

Last Game: St Vincent & Gr. 2-0 Dominica
Sunday, May 5 at 9pm in International Friendlies

Current League C Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Dominica	0	0	0
2	British Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Turks and Caicos	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dominica win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
Guatemala	Draw	Dominica
38.63% ( -1.23)	28.64% ( 0.14)	32.73% ( 1.09)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Guatemala	Draw	Dominica
1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.27% Total : 38.62%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.63%	0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 32.73%