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World Cup

British Virgin Islands national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
A.O. Shirley Recreation Ground
Guatemala national football team

British Virgin I.
0 - 3
Guatemala


Chalwell (3'), Beckles (46'), Beckles (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Castellanos (23'), Rubin (45+3'), Carlos Pinto (47' pen.)
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between British Virgin Islands and Guatemala.

Form, Standings, Stats

British Virgin Islands

All competitions
Last Game: British Virgin I. 1-2 Dominica
Thursday, November 16 at 7pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Guatemala

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guatemala 6-0 Dominica
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 62.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-0 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
British Virgin IslandsDrawGuatemala
17.24% (-0.067 -0.07)20.71% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)62.05% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 54.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.93% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.33% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
British Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.28% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)37.72% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.5% (-0.081 -0.08)74.5% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.03% (0.024000000000001 0.02)12.97% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.53% (0.047000000000004 0.05)39.46% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    British Virgin Islands 17.24%
    Guatemala 62.05%
    Draw 20.71%
British Virgin IslandsDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.75% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 17.24%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.71%
0-2 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 6.95% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.77% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.55% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 62.05%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 10pm
First Round
British Virgin I.
0-3
Guatemala

Wilson (54'), Bertie (72'), (76')
Robert Medway (88')
Lom (21'), Hernandez (44'), Osvaldo Betancourth Cue (81')
Gordillo (45')