Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 92.92%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 1.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.61%) and 0-2 (11.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.57%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-0 (0.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.