Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.03%) and 3-1 (5.02%). The likeliest British Virgin Islands win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuba would win this match.
