Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest British Virgin Islands win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.
