Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turks and Caicos win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turks and Caicos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.14%) and 2-0 (5.06%). The likeliest British Virgin Islands win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.