Guatemala national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Sep 6, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional Mateo Flores

Guatemala
3 - 1
Martinique

Rubin (3', 3'), Carlos Pinto (61' pen., 61' pen.), Carlos Martinez (90+4', 90+4')
Herrera (28'), Herrera (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Appin (50', 50')
Moutachy (60'), Moutachy (60'), Varane (77'), Varane (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Guatemala and Martinique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions
Last Game: Uruguay 1-1 Guatemala
Monday, September 2 at 12am in International Friendlies

Martinique

All competitions
Last Game: Suriname 1-1 Martinique
Sunday, March 24 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.

Result
GuatemalaDrawMartinique
59.09% (-0.464 -0.46)22.99% (0.16 0.16)17.92% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 48.23% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.43% (-0.183 -0.18)50.57% (0.187 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51% (-0.16 -0.16)72.49% (0.166 0.17)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.224 -0.22)16.79% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-0.40499999999999 -0.4)46.75% (0.409 0.41)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.96% (0.262 0.26)42.04% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.53% (0.225 0.22)78.47% (-0.221 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 59.08%
    Martinique 17.92%
    Draw 22.99%
GuatemalaDrawMartinique
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.68% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 59.08%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.089 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.73% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 17.92%

How you voted: Guatemala vs Martinique

Guatemala
86.7%
Draw
13.3%
Martinique
0.0%
15