Los Ticos are not anywhere near as strong as we have seen in years past, but they seem to bring out their best when their backs are against the wall.
Les Matinino have managed to stay close in many of their recent outings, but they cannot seem to find an extra gear in these big games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
-1.39) 
0.72) 
