MX23RW : Wednesday, July 5 09:41:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 23
Jul 5, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Lanus
0 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Diaz (78'), Martin Ginzo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bou (42')
Fernandez (45'), Florentin (71')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Platense 0-1 Lanus
Friday, June 30 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, July 1 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Lanus 1-0 Velez Sarsfield

Despite there being 20 positions and 19 points between these two teams ahead of their meeting on Wednesday, we expect the appointment of Mendez to make this a much closer contest than many may expect. However, Lanus have built plenty of momentum within the past few months, and we can envisage them marginally getting themselves over the line in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
51.94% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 27.15% (-0.093 -0.09) 20.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 41.57% (0.245 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.17% (0.311 0.31)61.83% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.39% (0.23 0.23)81.61% (-0.223 -0.22)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (0.17700000000001 0.18)24.1% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (0.247 0.25)58.39% (-0.24 -0.24)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.77% (0.199 0.2)45.24% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.88% (0.155 0.16)81.12% (-0.149 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 51.93%
    Velez Sarsfield 20.91%
    Draw 27.14%
LanusDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 15.51% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-0 @ 11.03% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 51.93%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.9% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.47% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.88% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.91%

How you voted: Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield

Lanus
100%
Draw
0.0%
Velez Sarsfield
0.0%
27
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 9
Lanus
2-2
Velez Sarsfield
Loaiza (36'), Acosta (64'), Gonzalez (68')
Sanabria (63')
Perrone (21'), Ortega (59'), Osorio (73'), Gomez (90+1')
Apr 2, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
3-1
Lanus
Janson (44', 51'), Pratto (90+3')
Pasquini (11')
Malcorra (6'), Belmonte (26')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Velez Sarsfield
5-1
Lanus
Bouzat (14'), Almada (52'), Caseres (62'), Ortega (77'), Centurion (83')
Hoyos (27'), Caseres (45+1'), Mancuello (45+3'), Martinez (89')
Belmonte (76')
Morel (51'), Thaller (60'), Esquivel (63'), Aguirre (80')
Apr 25, 2021 3pm
First Phase
Lanus
1-2
Velez Sarsfield
Bernabei (49')
Mancuello (76'), De los Santos (89')
Perez (15'), Nicolas Mulet (48'), Perez (65'), Sand (69')
Jan 14, 2021 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Lanus
3-0
Velez Sarsfield
Belmonte (45+3'), Orsini (60'), Bernabei (88')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group A
1Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs00000000
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal00000000
3Atletico TucumanTucuman00000000
4BanfieldBanfield00000000
5Barracas Central00000000
6ColonColon00000000
7GimnasiaGimnasia00000000
8HuracanHuracan00000000
9IndependienteIndependiente00000000
10Instituto00000000
11River PlateRiver Plate00000000
12Rosario CentralRosario00000000
13TalleresTalleres00000000
14Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield00000000
Group B
1BelgranoBelgrano00000000
2Boca Juniors00000000
3Central CordobaC. Cordoba00000000
4Defensa y JusticiaDefensa00000000
5EstudiantesEstudiantes00000000
6Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz00000000
7LanusLanus00000000
8Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB00000000
9Platense00000000
10Racing ClubRacing00000000
11San Lorenzo00000000
12Sarmiento00000000
13TigreTigre00000000
14UnionUnion00000000
 
First Phase
1River PlateRiver Plate22162440152550
2TalleresTalleres22125537201741
3San Lorenzo2211832181341
4LanusLanus23117531211040
5EstudiantesEstudiantes2210752719837
6Defensa y JusticiaDefensa22106627161136
7Rosario CentralRosario229853025535
8BelgranoBelgrano2210482019134
9Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz229672824433
10Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs229582619732
11Boca Juniors229492522331
12Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB227962019130
13Racing ClubRacing228683030030
14Platense228592325-229
15Sarmiento227782220228
16Barracas Central226972228-627
17GimnasiaGimnasia227691929-1027
18Central CordobaC. Cordoba226881722-526
19TigreTigre226792025-525
20Instituto226791829-1125
21Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield235992224-224
22IndependienteIndependiente225982126-524
23ColonColon2241261925-624
24Atletico TucumanTucuman225981927-824
25UnionUnion225891725-823
26BanfieldBanfield2256111529-1421
27HuracanHuracan2247111626-1019
28Arsenal SarandiArsenal2252151530-1517

Real Madrid Until The End
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