El Salvador need to step up and show they are a true contending team in this region, but we do not believe they have the personnel to find a way through an experienced Panamanian backline.
Even though their Gold Cup journey will continue after this match, Christiansen is thinking long-term, and he will know that their easiest path into the semi-finals would be a first-place finish, something they are guaranteed of doing with a win or draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for El Salvador had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a El Salvador win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
-0.21) 
0.19) 
