The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, July 17 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 18 | Lanus | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-2 River Plate
Monday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, July 18 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
We said: Lanus 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
Lanus and Velez have failed to hit their stride in the new campaign and will both head into Wednesday seeking a morale-boosting victory. Lanus have lost six of their last seven games in all competitions and we are backing the visitors to heap their misery by coming out victorious, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
39.52% ( -0.58) | 27.83% ( 0.16) | 32.65% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 47.9% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
