Dominican Republic national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 19, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cibao
Bermuda national football team

Dominican Rep.
6 - 1
Bermuda

Romero (33', 33', 69', 69', 90', 90+4', 90', 90+4'), Carlos Lopez (75', 75'), Morschel (87', 87')
Carlos Lopez (45'), Carlos Lopez (45'), Morschel (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Parfitt-Williams (45+2', 45+2')
Bell (90+4'), Leverock (90+4')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Dominican Republic and Bermuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominican Republic

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominica 1-6 Dominican Rep.
Saturday, November 16 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Bermuda

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Bermuda 2-1 Antigua
Saturday, November 16 at 8pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 74.27%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Bermuda had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.24%), while for a Bermuda win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.

Result
Dominican RepublicDrawBermuda
74.27% (2.863 2.86)14.63% (-0.988 -0.99)11.1% (-1.868 -1.87)
Both teams to score 60.31% (-2.398 -2.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.62% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)26.37% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.31% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)46.69% (0.185 0.19)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.95% (0.477 0.48)6.05% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.98% (1.312 1.31)23.02% (-1.307 -1.31)
Bermuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2% (-2.889 -2.89)35.8% (2.895 2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.42% (-3.089 -3.09)72.58% (3.094 3.09)
Score Analysis
    Dominican Republic 74.27%
    Bermuda 11.1%
    Draw 14.63%
Dominican RepublicDrawBermuda
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-0 @ 8.52% (0.524 0.52)
3-1 @ 8.19% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 7.97% (0.691 0.69)
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.216 0.22)
4-1 @ 5.74% (0.219 0.22)
4-0 @ 5.59% (0.621 0.62)
3-2 @ 4.2% (-0.292 -0.29)
5-1 @ 3.22% (0.206 0.21)
5-0 @ 3.14% (0.423 0.42)
4-2 @ 2.95% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.51% (0.135 0.14)
6-0 @ 1.47% (0.232 0.23)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 74.27%
1-1 @ 6.24% (-0.272 -0.27)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.445 -0.45)
0-0 @ 2.17% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 14.63%
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.414 -0.41)
0-1 @ 2.23% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.291 -0.29)
0-2 @ 1.14% (-0.183 -0.18)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 11.1%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 4pm
League B
Bermuda
2-3
Dominican Rep.
Crichlow (17'), Lambe (51')
Chikosi (20'), Martin (45')
Romero (35'), Morschel (61'), Vasquez (84')
Reyes (14')