World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage | 2nd Leg

Jun 10, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Helsingin olympiastadion

Finland
2 - 1
Poland

(Poland win 5-3 on aggregate)

Pohjanpalo (31' pen.), Kallman (64')
Kairinen (35')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kiwior (69')
Bednarek (34'), Zalewski (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Finland and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Lithuania 2-2 Finland
Monday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Next Game: Finland vs. Netherlands
Saturday, June 7 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	0	0	0
2	Republic of Ireland	0	0	0
3	Greece	0	0	0
4	Finland	0	0	0

Poland

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Poland 2-0 Malta
Monday, March 24 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Next Game: Poland vs. Moldova
Friday, June 6 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	8	14
2	Croatia	6	0	8
3	Scotland	6	-1	7
4	Poland	6	-7	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Finland win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Poland has a probability of 31.74% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Finland win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Poland win is 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.17%).

Result
Finland	Draw	Poland
42.61% ( 1.02)	25.65% ( -0.25)	31.74% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 54.36% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.45% (

0.82)

49.55% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.42% (

0.73)

71.58% (

-0.73)

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87% (

0.87)

23.13% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01% (

1.25)

56.99% (

-1.25)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

-0.1)

29.29% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75% (

-0.12)

65.25% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Finland 42.61%

Poland 31.74%

Draw 25.64%

Finland	Draw	Poland
1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.61%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.74%