World Cup header WWW

World Cup

Finland national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage | 2nd Leg
Jun 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Helsingin olympiastadion
Netherlands national football team

Finland
0 - 1
Netherlands

LIVE
21'
Depay (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup qualifier between Finland and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Saturday’s World Cup qualifier against Finland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Finland

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Lithuania 2-2 Finland
Monday, March 24 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

Netherlands

All competitions
Last Game: Spain 3-3 Netherlands (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Netherlands win with a probability of 57.71%. A draw has a probability of 22.2% and a win for Finland has a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Finland win it is 1-0 (5.5%).

Result
FinlandDrawNetherlands
20.13% (-0.241 -0.24)22.16% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)57.71% (0.275 0.27)
Both teams to score 54.66% (-0.279 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (-0.18 -0.18)43.92% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (-0.178 -0.18)66.3% (0.17800000000001 0.18)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)35.73% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.5% (-0.361 -0.36)72.5% (0.361 0.36)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.02600000000001 0.03)14.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (0.052999999999997 0.05)43.37% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Finland 20.13%
    Netherlands 57.7%
    Draw 22.15%
FinlandDrawNetherlands
1-0 @ 5.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 0.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 20.13%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.15%
0-1 @ 10.15% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.65% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.11% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.9% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 57.7%