The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 55.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
Result | ||
Ecuador | Draw | Venezuela |
55.58% | 22.54% | 21.88% |
Both teams to score 56.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.63% | 43.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.23% | 65.77% |
Ecuador Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.53% | 15.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.66% | 44.34% |
Venezuela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.28% | 33.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.62% | 70.38% |
Score Analysis |
Ecuador 55.58%
Venezuela 21.88%
Draw 22.54%
Ecuador | Draw | Venezuela |
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 6.14% 3-0 @ 5.65% 3-2 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.87% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.56% 5-1 @ 1.07% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.58% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-1 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 3.08% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.23% Total : 21.88% |
How you voted: Ecuador vs Venezuela
Ecuador
78.1%Draw
13.7%Venezuela
8.2%73
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2021 9.30pm
CONMEBOL Standings
Venezuela
2-1
Ecuador
Machis (45+1'), Bello (64')
Rincon (45+4'), Moreno (87'), Aristeguieta (90+4'), Andres Martinez (90+5')
Rincon (45+4'), Moreno (87'), Aristeguieta (90+4'), Andres Martinez (90+5')
Jun 2, 2019 2am
Form Guide
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rhs 2.0
LT: 2022-06-10 03:00:20
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Argentine Primera Division
International Friendlies
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CONCACAF Nations League
CONCACAF Nations League
Tables
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 99 | 26 | 73 | 93 |
2 | Liverpool | 38 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 94 | 26 | 68 | 92 |
3 | Chelsea | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 76 | 33 | 43 | 74 |
4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
5 | Arsenal | 38 | 22 | 3 | 13 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 69 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 57 | 57 | 0 | 58 |
7 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 60 | 51 | 9 | 56 |
8 | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 62 | 59 | 3 | 52 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 51 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 51 |
11 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 62 | -18 | 49 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 48 |
13 | Brentford | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 46 |
14 | Aston Villa | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 45 |
15 | Southampton | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 40 |
16 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 39 |
17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 42 | 79 | -37 | 38 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 34 | 53 | -19 | 35 |
R | Watford | 38 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 34 | 77 | -43 | 23 |
R | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 84 | -61 | 22 |
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