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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 1pm UK
Francistown Stadium
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Botswana1 - 3Algeria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Botswana
Tuesday, November 19 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, November 19 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Algeria 5-1 Liberia
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sunday, November 17 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 | 
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 | 
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 | 
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 | 
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.99%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Algeria | 
| 18.35% (  -0.15) | 26.06% (  -0.14) | 55.59% (  0.29) | 
| Both teams to score 40.78% (  0.12) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 39.07% (  0.28) | 60.93% (  -0.28) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 19.06% (  0.21) | 80.94% (  -0.21) | 
| Botswana Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 52.36% (  -0.01) | 47.64% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.03% (  -0.01) | 82.97% (  0.01) | 
| Algeria Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.88% (  0.24) | 22.12% (  -0.24) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.51% (  0.36) | 55.49% (  -0.36) | 
| Score Analysis | 
     Botswana 18.35%
     Algeria 55.58%
     Draw 26.05%
| Botswana | Draw | Algeria | 
| 1-0 @ 7.81% (  -0.09) 2-1 @ 4.37% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.9% (  -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.08% (  -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.35% | 1-1 @ 11.78% (  -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.53% (  -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.3% (  0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 15.89% (  -0.06) 0-2 @ 11.99% (  0.05) 1-2 @ 8.89% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 6.03% (  0.07) 1-3 @ 4.47% (  0.05) 0-4 @ 2.28% (  0.04) 1-4 @ 1.69% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 1.66% (  0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 55.58% | 
How you voted: Botswana vs Algeria
Botswana
10.4%Draw
4.2%Algeria
85.4%48
Form Guide
 rhs 2.0 
 
 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 | 
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 | 
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 | 
| 4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 | 
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 | 
| 6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 | 
| 7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 | 
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 | 
| 9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 | 
| 10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 | 
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 | 
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 | 
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 | 
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 | 
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 | 
| 16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 | 
| 17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 | 
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 | 
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 | 
| R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 | 
| > Premier League Full Table | |||||||||

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