World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Uruguay0 - 1Argentina
The Match
Match Report
Argentina attacker Thiago Almada scores a stunning strike to fire his country to a 1-0 victory over Uruguay in World Cup qualifying.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Argentina could line up for Friday's 2026 World Cup qualifier against Uruguay in Montevideo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Uruguay
Wednesday, November 20 at 12.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, November 20 at 12.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Argentina 1-0 Peru
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Wednesday, November 20 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-0 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentina in this match.
| Result | ||
| Uruguay | Draw | Argentina |
35.45% ( 0.88) | 28.36% ( 0.15) | 36.19% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.72% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
