World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2024 at 10pm UK

Estadio Monumental de Maturin

Venezuela
1 - 1
Argentina

Rondon (65')
Andres Martinez (32'), Batista (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Otamendi (13')
Pezzella (90+4')

Reaction

Argentina's Lionel Messi in action on July 14, 2024

Lionel Messi blames pitch for Argentina's frustrating draw with Venezuela

Lionel Messi and Lionel Scaloni criticise the pitch after Argentina are held to a 1-1 draw in Thursday's World Cup qualifying clash against Venezuela.

Oct 11, 08:28

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Venezuela and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Thursday's World Cup qualifier away in Venezuela.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Venezuela 0-0 Uruguay
Tuesday, September 10 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	8	8	18
2	Colombia	8	4	16
3	Uruguay	8	8	15
4	Ecuador	8	2	14
5	Brazil	8	1	10
6	Venezuela	8	-1	10
7	Paraguay	8	-1	9
8	Bolivia	8	-5	9
9	Chile	8	-8	5
10	Peru	8	-8	3

Argentina

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Colombia 2-1 Argentina
Tuesday, September 10 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	8	8	18
2	Colombia	8	4	16
3	Uruguay	8	8	15
4	Ecuador	8	2	14
5	Brazil	8	1	10
6	Venezuela	8	-1	10
7	Paraguay	8	-1	9
8	Bolivia	8	-5	9
9	Chile	8	-8	5
10	Peru	8	-8	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.82%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Venezuela	Draw	Argentina
18.26% ( -0.65)	25.07% ( 0.46)	56.67% ( 0.19)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Venezuela	Draw	Argentina
1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.51% Total : 18.26%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.83) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.53% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 14.87% ( 0.95) 0-2 @ 11.82% ( 0.45) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.22) Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.66%