Copa America | Group Stage

Jul 1, 2024 at 1am UK

Al Saqr Stadium

Jamaica
vs.
Venezuela

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa America Group Stage clash between Jamaica and Venezuela.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions

Last Game: Dominica 2-3 Jamaica
Sunday, June 9 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Next Game: Mexico vs. Jamaica
Sunday, June 23 at 2am in Copa America

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Venezuela	0	0	0
2	Ecuador	0	0	0
3	Mexico	0	0	0
4	Jamaica	0	0	0

Venezuela

All competitions

Last Game: Guatemala 0-0 Venezuela
Sunday, March 24 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Ecuador vs. Venezuela
Saturday, June 22 at 11pm in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Jamaica win with a probability of 50.14%. A draw has a probability of 27.2% and a win for Venezuela has a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Venezuela win it is 0-1 (8.88%).

Result
Jamaica	Draw	Venezuela
50.14% ( -0.04)	27.25% ( 0.01)	22.61% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 43.19% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.23% (

-0.04)

60.76% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.18% (

-0.03)

80.81% (

0.02)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55% (

-0.03)

24.45% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.11% (

-0.04)

58.88% (

0.04)

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.16% (

-0)

42.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.84% (

-0)

79.15% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Jamaica 50.14%

Venezuela 22.61%

Draw 27.24%

Jamaica	Draw	Venezuela
1-0 @ 14.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 50.14%	1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 27.24%	0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.5% 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.05% Total : 22.61%