CONCACAF Nations League | Third-Place Playoff

Mar 24, 2024 at 10pm UK

AT&T Stadium

Panama
0 - 1
Jamaica

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lembikisa (41')
Palmer (43'), Latibeaudiere (69'), Lembikisa (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Jamaica and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions

Last Game: Panama 0-3 Mexico
Friday, March 22 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Jamaica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: USA 3-1 Jamaica
Thursday, March 21 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

After being seconds away from advancing, we wonder what the state of mind of the Reggae Boyz will be heading into a match which is really only for pride. The Panamanians will be disappointed with their semi-final performance, but they always seem to bounce back quickly from a rough outing, and we believe they will do so again on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Jamaica in this match.

Result
Panama	Draw	Jamaica
57.47%	23.03%	19.5%

Both teams to score 50.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.49%

48.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36%

70.64%

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.37%

16.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.54%

46.46%

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.96%

39.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.24%

75.76%

Score Analysis

Panama 57.45%

Jamaica 19.5%

Draw 23.03%

Panama	Draw	Jamaica
1-0 @ 11.64% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.83% 3-0 @ 6.25% 3-1 @ 5.88% 4-0 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.76% 4-1 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.01% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.03% Total : 57.45%	1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 6.49% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.03%	0-1 @ 6.11% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.87% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.5%