CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
Canada2 - 3Jamaica
Form, Standings, Stats
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Canada
Saturday, November 18 at 3.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Saturday, November 18 at 3.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guatemala | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cuba | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Canada 2-0 Jamaica (Canada advance 4-1 on aggregate)
With Eustaquio in the midfield, the Canadians seem to be able to unlock opposing defences more efficiently, and facing an inconsistent backline like Jamaica, we believe Canada will be able to find a way through. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Canada | Draw | Jamaica |
59.4% ( -0.02) | 22.48% ( 0.17) | 18.13% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.15% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
