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World Cup
Argentina national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Peru national football team

Argentina
1 - 0
Peru

Martinez (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Araujo (44'), Zambrano (88'), Lapadula (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Argentina could line up in their 2026 World Cup qualification fixture with Peru on Tuesday night.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Paraguay 2-1 Argentina
Thursday, November 14 at 11.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

Peru

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Chile
Saturday, November 16 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

We said: Argentina 2-0 Peru

 Peru's lack of goals in the section is a real concern, and we just cannot see the visitors damaging Argentina here. We are not expecting a high-scoring contest on Tuesday night, but the World Cup holders will be determined to bounce back, and we are backing them to emerge victorious with a routine two-goal success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 84.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 4.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.43%) and 1-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.24%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
ArgentinaDrawPeru
84.47% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 11.12% (0.014999999999999 0.01) 4.41% (0.053 0.05)
Both teams to score 37.07% (0.366 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.76% (0.225 0.23)36.24% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.64% (0.245 0.24)58.36% (-0.246 -0.25)
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.81% (0.031000000000006 0.03)6.19% (-0.0311 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.6% (0.087000000000003 0.09)23.41% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.52% (0.377 0.38)60.48% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.11% (0.189 0.19)90.89% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Argentina 84.45%
    Peru 4.41%
    Draw 11.12%
ArgentinaDrawPeru
2-0 @ 14.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 13.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-0 @ 9.35% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.29% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 5.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.7% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.62% (0.026 0.03)
6-0 @ 2.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.032 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.21% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.025 0.02)
7-0 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 84.45%
1-1 @ 5.24% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 1.83% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 11.12%
0-1 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 1.32% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 4.41%

How you voted: Argentina vs Peru

Argentina
88.0%
Draw
6.0%
Peru
6.0%
117
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
2-0
Peru
Martinez (47', 86')
Paredes (67')

Guerrero (28'), Cartagena (36'), Flores (53'), Zambrano (88'), Cueva (90+4')
> Preview
Oct 18, 2023 3am
Group Stage
Peru
0-2
Argentina

Yotun (45'), Advincula (74')
Messi (32', 42')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2021 12.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Peru
> Preview
Nov 18, 2020 12.30am
Group Stage
Peru
0-2
Argentina
> Preview
Oct 6, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
0-0
Peru
rhs 2.0
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