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World Cup
Brazil national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2024 at 12.45am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Uruguay national football team

Brazil
1 - 1
Uruguay

Gerson (62')
Raphinha (69'), Paqueta (89'), Magalhaes (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Valverde (55')
Bentancur (41'), Varela (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Brazil could line up in Tuesday's 2026 World Cup qualification fixture with Uruguay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, November 14 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 3-2 Colombia
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

We said: Brazil 1-1 Uruguay

 This is a really tough match for Brazil, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two teams here; Brazil have been far from their best during this qualification campaign, and we are expecting Uruguay to be good enough for a point on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 17.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BrazilDrawUruguay
58.49% (-0.495 -0.49) 24.03% (0.104 0.1) 17.47% (0.39 0.39)
Both teams to score 44.5% (0.41 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.86% (0.161 0.16)55.13% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61% (0.132 0.13)76.38% (-0.13300000000001 -0.13)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.33% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)18.67% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50% (-0.21 -0.21)50% (0.209 0.21)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.72% (0.586 0.59)45.28% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.84% (0.463 0.46)81.15% (-0.464 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 58.48%
    Uruguay 17.47%
    Draw 24.03%
BrazilDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 14.18% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 11.9% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.28% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.031 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 58.48%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.067 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.45% (0.099 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.65% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 17.47%

How you voted: Brazil vs Uruguay

Brazil
55.2%
Draw
20.8%
Uruguay
24.0%
125
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2024 2am
Quarter-Finals
Uruguay
0-0
Brazil
(Aggregate 0-0 | Uruguay win 4-2 on penalties)
Ugarte (51'), de la Cruz (60')
Nandez (74')
Paqueta (39'), Gomes (64')
> Preview
Oct 18, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Uruguay
2-0
Brazil
Nunez (42'), De la Cruz (77')
Araujo (10'), Nunez (21'), Nandez (57')

Rodrygo (45+5'), Casemiro (71'), Ederson (77'), Jesus (83'), Cunha (89')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
4-1
Uruguay
> Preview
Nov 17, 2020 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-2
Brazil
Arthur (33'), Richarlison (45')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2018 8pm
International Friendlies
Brazil
1-0
Uruguay
Neymar (76' pen.)
Costa (40'), Walace (43')

Torreira (24'), Suarez (36'), Vecino (41'), Suarez (75'), Caceres (80'), Cavani (86')
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