World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos

Chile
1 - 2
Brazil

Vargas (2', 2', 2')
Galdames (40'), Galdames (40'), Galdames (40'), Loyola (72'), Loyola (72'), Loyola (72')

FT(HT: 3-3)

Jesus (45+1', 45+1', 45+1'), Henrique (89', 89', 89')
Paqueta (3'), Paqueta (3'), Paqueta (3'), Danilo (62'), Danilo (62'), Danilo (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Thursday's World Cup qualifier away in Chile.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Chile 1-2 Bolivia
Tuesday, September 10 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	8	8	18
2	Colombia	8	4	16
3	Uruguay	8	8	15
4	Ecuador	8	2	14
5	Brazil	8	1	10
6	Venezuela	8	-1	10
7	Paraguay	8	-1	9
8	Bolivia	8	-5	9
9	Chile	8	-8	5
10	Peru	8	-8	3

Brazil

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 Brazil
Wednesday, September 11 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	8	8	18
2	Colombia	8	4	16
3	Uruguay	8	8	15
4	Ecuador	8	2	14
5	Brazil	8	1	10
6	Venezuela	8	-1	10
7	Paraguay	8	-1	9
8	Bolivia	8	-5	9
9	Chile	8	-8	5
10	Peru	8	-8	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Chile had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.

Result
Chile	Draw	Brazil
34.96% ( -1.39)	26.68% ( 0.17)	38.36% ( 1.22)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Chile	Draw	Brazil
1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.96%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.36%