Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 22, 2024 at 1am UK

AT&T Stadium

Peru
0 - 0
Chile

Zambrano (18')

Pulgar (22'), Davila (47'), Sanchez (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa America clash between Peru and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

Last Game: El Salvador 0-1 Peru
Saturday, June 15 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Chile

All competitions

Last Game: Chile 3-0 Paraguay
Wednesday, June 12 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Gareca developed many players still featuring for Peru, and he would know best how to break down their solid defensive structure. We believe that Chile have faced stiffer competition throughout the year when compared to the Peruvians, and we expect that will be a great benefit to them heading into this encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Peru had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Peru	Draw	Chile
28.48% ( -0.05)	28% ( -0.09)	43.53% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 45.8% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.2% (

0.27)

59.8% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.92% (

0.21)

80.08% (

-0.2)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.98% (

0.11)

37.02% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.19% (

0.11)

73.81% (

-0.11)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72% (

0.2)

27.28% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.29% (

0.26)

62.71% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Peru 28.47%

Chile 43.53%

Draw 27.98%

Peru	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 28.47%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 43.53%