Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 29, 2024 at 2am UK

Allegiant Stadium

Paraguay
vs.
Brazil

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa America Group Stage clash between Paraguay and Brazil.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions

Last Game: Panama 0-1 Paraguay
Sunday, June 16 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Colombia vs. Paraguay
Monday, June 24 at 11pm in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Brazil

All competitions

Last Game: USA 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, June 13 at 12am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Brazil vs. Costa Rica
Tuesday, June 25 at 2am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brazil win with a probability of 66.49%. A draw has a probability of 20.9% and a win for Paraguay has a probability of 12.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (13.56%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Paraguay win it is 1-0 (5.1%).

Result
Paraguay	Draw	Brazil
12.61% ( -9.54)	20.9% ( -5.81)	66.49% ( 15.35)

Both teams to score 42.44% (

-1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.23% (

7.6)

51.77% (

-7.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.47% (

6.22)

73.53% (

-6.22)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.77% (

-7.73)

50.22% (

7.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.19% (

-5.96)

84.81% (

5.95)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.26% (

8.64)

14.74% (

-8.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.03% (

14.39)

42.97% (

-14.39)

Score Analysis

Paraguay 12.61%

Brazil 66.48%

Draw 20.9%

Paraguay	Draw	Brazil
1-0 @ 5.1% ( -3.4) 2-1 @ 3.36% ( -1.93) 2-0 @ 1.76% ( -1.88) Other @ 2.39% Total : 12.61%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( -2.59) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -2.53) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.63) Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.9%	0-1 @ 14.17% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 13.56% ( 3.07) 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 8.66% ( 3.58) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 1.61) 0-4 @ 4.14% ( 2.3) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 1.27) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.19) 0-5 @ 1.59% ( 1.05) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.63) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.31) Other @ 2.07% Total : 66.48%