Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 24, 2024 at 11pm UK
NRG Stadium
Colombia2 - 1Paraguay
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colombia 3-0 Bolivia
Saturday, June 15 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, June 15 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Paraguay
Sunday, June 16 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 16 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
We said: Colombia 1-0 Paraguay
The Colombians are just as sharp defensively as Paraguay, and we believe their experience and momentum will be enough to grind out a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colombia | Draw | Paraguay |
50.42% ( -0.02) | 27.69% ( 0.05) | 21.89% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.35% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
