World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 21, 2025 at 7pm UK

Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda

Burundi
0 - 1
Ivory Coast

Liongola (55'), Nsabiyumva (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guessand (16')
Agbadou (54'), Fofana (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Burundi and Ivory Coast, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Senegal 2-0 Burundi
Tuesday, November 19 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Ivory Coast

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Ivory Coast 4-0 Chad
Tuesday, November 19 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.82%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.

Result
Burundi	Draw	Ivory Coast
13.79% ( -0.15)	23.38% ( -0.16)	62.83% ( 0.3)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Burundi	Draw	Ivory Coast
1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 13.79%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 2.89% Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.37%	0-1 @ 16.28% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 13.82% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.83% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 62.82%