We said: Burundi 0-3 Ivory Coast
While Ivory Coast remains their biggest challenge in the qualifiers, Burundi can take pride in their performance so far as they could climb to the top of the table this weekend. However, given the gulf in quality and depth between the two teams, we are backing the Elephants to come away with all three points unscathed.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 13.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.82%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.