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World Cup
Paraguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Manuel Ferreira
Chile national football team

Paraguay
1 - 0
Chile

Alderete (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
Last Game: Bolivia 2-2 Paraguay
Tuesday, November 19 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Uruguay12820
4Colombia12519
5Brazil12618
6Paraguay12117
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile12-119
10Peru12-127

Chile

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Chile 6-1 Panama
Saturday, February 8 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina121425
2Ecuador12722
3Uruguay12820
4Colombia12519
5Brazil12618
6Paraguay12117
7Bolivia12-1413
8Venezuela12-412
9Chile12-119
10Peru12-127

We said: Paraguay 0-0 Chile

 It is very easy to predict a 0-0 when Paraguay are involved, despite coming to life in November, but there is very little to separate these two when looking at their recent form, and it could well be a tense battle in Asuncion. A draw would not be a bad result for either side, as it should keep Paraguay in a comfortable position in the top six, while any point on the road will be most welcome for Chile, who do need to maximise the output from their final few home encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 45.02%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Chile had a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Paraguay in this match.

Result
ParaguayDrawChile
45.02% (1.616 1.62) 28.86% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 26.12% (-1.553 -1.55)
Both teams to score 42.15% (-0.79 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.34% (-0.5 -0.5)63.67% (0.502 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.05% (-0.359 -0.36)82.95% (0.36 0.36)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (0.62599999999999 0.63)28.33% (-0.625 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (0.784 0.78)64.07% (-0.782 -0.78)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.81% (-1.63 -1.63)41.19% (1.632 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.28% (-1.48 -1.48)77.72% (1.482 1.48)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 45.01%
    Chile 26.12%
    Draw 28.86%
ParaguayDrawChile
1-0 @ 14.71% (0.52 0.52)
2-0 @ 9.28% (0.484 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.267 0.27)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 11.67% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 28.86%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.316 -0.32)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.336 -0.34)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 26.12%

How you voted: Paraguay vs Chile

Paraguay
55.8%
Draw
25.6%
Chile
18.6%
43
Head to Head
Jun 12, 2024 1am
Friendlies 1
Chile
3-0
Paraguay
Davila (17', 37'), Vargas (53')
Isla (28')

Peralta (23')
> Preview
Nov 17, 2023 12.30am
Group Stage
Chile
0-0
Paraguay
Maripan (22'), Medel (78')
Mendez (88')
Gomez (38'), Caballero (71'), Rojas (78')
Rojas (44')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2023 1.30am
Friendlies 1
Chile
3-2
Paraguay
> Preview
Nov 11, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-1
Chile
Silva (56' og.)
> Preview
Oct 11, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Chile
2-0
Paraguay
Brereton Diaz (69'), Isla (72')
Aranguiz (23'), Brereton Diaz (42'), Jimenez (54')
Aranguiz (74')

Morel (15'), Perez (23'), Alderete (83')
Alderete (89')
> Preview
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