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World Cup
Chile national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
Venezuela national football team

Chile
4 - 2
Venezuela

Vargas (20'), Rincon (29' og.), Cepeda (38', 47')
Vidal (37')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Savarino (13'), Ramirez (22')
Aramburu (43'), Angel (78'), Andres Martinez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Chile and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Peru 0-0 Chile
Saturday, November 16 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

Venezuela

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, November 14 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Uruguay11819
3Colombia11619
4Ecuador11619
5Brazil11617
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru11-117
10Chile11-136

We said: Chile 0-0 Venezuela

 Venezuela are the draw specialists in the section, sharing the points on six occasions, and while it would not be a surprise to see the visitors record a narrow win on Tuesday, we are expecting a tight and potentially uneventful match to finish goalless. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result
ChileDrawVenezuela
45.35% (-0.653 -0.65) 26.95% (-0.096 -0.1) 27.7% (0.749 0.75)
Both teams to score 48.25% (0.785 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.56% (0.756 0.76)56.44% (-0.758 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (0.605 0.61)77.44% (-0.60600000000001 -0.61)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (0.018000000000001 0.02)24.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6% (0.024999999999999 0.02)59.39% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18% (1.026 1.03)35.82% (-1.027 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.4% (1.037 1.04)72.6% (-1.038 -1.04)
Score Analysis
    Chile 45.34%
    Venezuela 27.7%
    Draw 26.94%
ChileDrawVenezuela
1-0 @ 12.38% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 45.34%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.68% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 27.7%

How you voted: Chile vs Venezuela

Chile
36.4%
Draw
31.2%
Venezuela
32.5%
77
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2023 10pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
3-0
Chile
Soteldo (45+1'), Rondon (72'), Machis (79')
Graterol (73')

Nunez (59'), Suazo (90+2')
Nunez (59')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Chile
3-0
Venezuela
> Preview
Nov 17, 2020 9pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
2-1
Chile
Mago (9'), Rondon (81')
Mago (88')
Vidal (15')
Maripan (8'), Isla (46')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2017 11pm
Group Stage
Chile
3-1
Venezuela
Sanchez (5'), Paredes (7', 22')
Rondon (63')
rhs 2.0
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